MX23RW : Wednesday, December 6 22:06:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lille
Troyes
1 - 1
Lille
Lopes (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diakite (52')
Andre (15'), Gudmundsson (26'), Gomes (32'), Ounas (55')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 2-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 0-2 Lille

Of course, Troyes will be desperate to give their fans something to cheer about on the final day of the campaign, having failed to win any of their previous 20 league matches, but Lille are expected to heap more misery on the relegated outfit while securing Europa League football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawLille
11.4% (-1.299 -1.3) 17.87% (0.327 0.33) 70.73% (0.971 0.97)
Both teams to score 48.18% (-5.538 -5.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-5.056 -5.06)41.92% (5.055 5.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-5.282 -5.28)64.32% (5.282 5.28)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.9% (-5.459 -5.46)46.1% (5.457 5.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.2% (-4.566 -4.57)81.8% (4.564 4.56)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39% (-1.111 -1.11)10.61% (1.11 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.59% (-2.55 -2.55)34.41% (2.549 2.55)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 11.4%
    Lille 70.72%
    Draw 17.87%
TroyesDrawLille
1-0 @ 3.79% (0.311 0.31)
2-1 @ 3.29% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.348 -0.35)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.4%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.315 0.32)
0-0 @ 4.89% (1.031 1.03)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.645 -0.65)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 17.87%
0-2 @ 12.3% (1.61 1.61)
0-1 @ 10.97% (1.883 1.88)
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 9.2% (0.811 0.81)
1-3 @ 7.13% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-4 @ 5.16% (0.223 0.22)
1-4 @ 4% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.642 -0.64)
0-5 @ 2.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.79% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.454 -0.45)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 70.72%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lille

Troyes
11.5%
Draw
11.5%
Lille
76.9%
26
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 12pm
gameweek 19
Lille
5-1
Troyes
Bayo (16', 47'), David (45+2', 88'), Virginius (75')
Balde (65')
May 1, 2022 12pm
gameweek 35
Troyes
3-0
Lille
Tardieu (43' pen., 86' pen.), Ugbo (55' pen.)

Sanches (50'), Botman (54'), Gudmundsson (61')
Sanches (50'), Yilmaz (68')
Dec 4, 2021 6pm
gameweek 17
Lille
2-1
Troyes
David (48'), Giraudon (85' og.)
Xeka (41'), Yilmaz (66'), Onana (88')
Dingome (6')
Kouame (22'), Giraudon (33'), Salmier (33'), Dingome (59')
Jan 20, 2018 7pm
Oct 14, 2017 7pm
Lille
2-2
Troyes
Araujo (12'), Mendes (74')
Pepe (66')
Amadou (90')
Darbion (3'), Niane (90' pen.)
Dingome (50'), Traore (69')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8Marseille145541814420
9NantesNantes145361823-518
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon141491127-167

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!