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Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Brest logo

Marseille
2 - 0
Brest

Mbemba (4'), Sarr (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Satriano (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-2 Marseille
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Brest
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawBrest
59.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)18.36% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 51.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01)47.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01)69.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)15.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49% (0.011000000000003 0.01)44.51% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)76.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 59.29%
    Brest 18.36%
    Draw 22.34%
MarseilleDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.92%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.36%

How you voted: Marseille vs Brest

Marseille
48.7%
Draw
43.6%
Brest
7.7%
39
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Mbemba (75')
Veretout (63'), Balerdi (87')
Magnetti (57'), Camara (81')
Chardonnet (67'), Lala (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Brest
1-1
Marseille
Lees-Melou (61')
Der Zakarian (29'), Belaili (51')
Tavares (38')
Milik (17'), Gerson (57'), Rongier (65'), Guendouzi (74')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Brest
1-4
Marseille
Cardona (90+1')
Satriano (35')
Gerson (3'), Milik (63'), Harit (71'), Under (90+1')
Guendouzi (33'), Saliba (77'), Gueye (89'), Peres (90')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 17
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Gerson (29')
Kamara (61')
Faivre (53' pen.), Honorat (70')
Pierre-Gabriel (90+2'), Cardona (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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