Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.