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Ligue 1

Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Brest logo

Le Havre
1 - 2
Brest

Kuzyaev (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Del Castillo (28'), Brassier (56')
Camara (47'), Camblan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Le Havre
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 3-2 Lens
Sunday, August 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Le HavreDrawBrest
39.16% (0.018999999999998 0.02)28.91% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)31.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.67% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.14% (0.044999999999995 0.04)61.86% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.36% (0.033000000000001 0.03)81.63% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.033000000000001 0.03)30.73% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)66.99% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)35.51% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (0.019000000000002 0.02)72.27% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 39.16%
    Brest 31.92%
    Draw 28.91%
Le HavreDrawBrest
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 10.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 11.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Brest

Le Havre
37.1%
Draw
28.6%
Brest
34.3%
35
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 23
Le Havre
1-1
Brest
Bain (24')
Assifuah (17'), Bonnet (53')
Ferhat (39')
Charbonnier (48')
Belkebla (31'), Court (33')
Chardonnet (83')
Jan 31, 2019
12am
Le Havre  
vs.
  Brest
Aug 28, 2018 7pm
Second Round
Le Havre
3-3
Brest
 Le Havre win 6-5 on penalties
Gory (20', 35'), Moussiti-Oko (49')
Chardonnet (66'), Autret (67'), Castelletto (69')
Henry (82')
Aug 24, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 5
Brest
1-0
Le Havre
Mayi (86')
Pi (32'), Belaud (88')

Thiare (56')
May 15, 2018 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Le Havre
2-0
Brest
Fontaine (38'), Bonnet (88')
Mateta (59')
Youga (90')

Magnon (58'), Castelletto (81'), Charbonnier (88'), Gastien (90')
Butin (89')
rhs 2.0


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