Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 2
Le Havre

Adams (58', 60')
Jullien (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lloris (5'), Grandsir (90')
Sangante (55'), Targhalline (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 1-3 Montpellier
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 2-0 Le Havre
Friday, July 21 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Le Havre
34.85% ( -0.41)	25.73% ( 0.06)	39.41% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 54.97% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.85% (

-0.34)

49.14% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.78% (

-0.31)

71.21% (

0.31)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.88% (

-0.41)

27.12% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.49% (

-0.54)

62.51% (

0.53)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

0.03)

24.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95% (

0.04)

59.05% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 34.85%

Le Havre 39.41%

Draw 25.73%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.85%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.41%