Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Christopher Jullien 48' yellowcard
  • Akor Adams 58' goal
  • Akor Adams 60' goal
  • goal Gautier Lloris 5'
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 55'
  • yellowcard Oussama Targhalline 65'
  • goal Samuel Grandsir 90'

Montpellier HSC vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Jun 3, 2023 8.00pm
Reims 1 - 3 Montpellier
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Le Havre

All competitions
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Mohamed Bayo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 34.85% (-0.42)
Draw 25.73% (+0.07)
Le Havre 39.41% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.97% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.85% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 49.14% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 28.78% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 71.21% (+0.31)
Over 4.5 13.84% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 86.16% (+0.21)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 72.88% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 27.12% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 37.49% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 62.51% (+0.54)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 75.43% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 24.56% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 40.95% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.05% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 34.85%
Draw 25.73%
Le Havre 39.41%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 8.69% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.66% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.73%
Le Havre
0-1 @ 9.35% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.57% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.57% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 4.01% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.07% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.41%