Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
3 - 3
Monaco

Mohamed (5' pen., 48'), Castelletto (15')
Castelletto (7'), Moutoussamy (64')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Minamino (27'), Ben Yedder (58'), Boadu (85')
Singo (9'), Golovin (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 3-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Monaco
30.85% ( 1.62)	25.39% ( 0.32)	43.76% ( -1.94)

Both teams to score 54.82% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.22% (

-0.61)

48.77% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12% (

-0.55)

70.88% (

0.55)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5% (

0.82)

29.49% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49% (

0.99)

65.51% (

-1)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

-1.14)

22.24% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.32% (

-1.74)

55.68% (

1.73)

Score Analysis

Nantes 30.85%

Monaco 43.76%

Draw 25.39%

Nantes	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.85%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.76%