Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Monaco |
| 40.46% ( | 26.12% ( | 33.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( | 51.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( | 72.91% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( | 24.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% ( | 59.48% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( | 28.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( | 64.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.42% |