Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Monaco
57.39% ( -1.57)	20.25% ( 0.4)	22.36% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 65.03% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.12% (

-0.37)

31.88% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.57% (

-0.43)

53.42% (

0.43)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86% (

-0.52)

11.14% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.42% (

-1.15)

35.58% (

1.15)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

0.76)

26.81% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

0.98)

62.11% (

-0.98)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 57.39%

Monaco 22.36%

Draw 20.25%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.39%	1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.25%	1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.8% Total : 22.36%