/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmonlog_1.png)
-
Konrad Laimer
31'
-
Jamal Musiala
42'
-
Serge Gnabry
45'+2'
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Leroy Sane
68'
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Takumi Minamino
29'
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Mohamed Camara
57'
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Wissam Ben Yedder
64'
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Soungoutou Magassa
90'
Bayern Munich vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F30%2Fnathan-ake-leroy-sane.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Bayern Munich
57.39%
▼
(-1.57)
Draw
20.25%
▲
(+0.40)
Monaco
22.36%
▲
(+1.17)
Both Teams to Score:
65.03%
▲
(+0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.12%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 2.5
31.88%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 3.5
46.57%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 3.5
53.42%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 4.5
27.66%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 4.5
72.33%
▲
(+0.39)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
88.86%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 0.5
11.14%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 1.5
64.42%
▼
(-1.16)
Under 1.5
35.58%
▲
(+1.16)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5
73.18%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 0.5
26.81%
▼
(-0.76)
Over 1.5
37.89%
▲
(+0.99)
Under 1.5
62.11%
▼
(-0.99)
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
57.39%
Draw
20.25%
Monaco
22.36%
Bayern Munich
2-1
@
9.47%
▼
(-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.17)
1-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.20)
4-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.12)
4-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 57.39%
2-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.17)
1-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.20)
4-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.12)
4-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 57.39%
Draw
1-1
@
8.63%
▲
(+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.25%
2-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.25%
Monaco
1-2
@
5.68%
▲
(+0.23)
0-1 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 22.36%