/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fkollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
-
Dejan Ljubicic
81'
-
Kingsley Coman
8'
-
Jamal Musiala
89'
FC Koln vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F21%2Fbayern-munich_2.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F18%2Fbayern-munich.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 1-3 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.
Result
FC Koln
32.59%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
22.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Bayern Munich
45.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
67.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.53%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
32.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
45.89%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
54.1%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
27.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
72.93%
▲
(+0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5
79.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
20.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
47.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
52.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
84.96%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
15.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
56.48%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
43.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
FC Koln
32.59%
Draw
22.09%
Bayern Munich
45.31%
FC Koln
2-1
@
7.33%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 32.59%
1-0 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 32.59%
Draw
1-1
@
9.26%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.08%
3-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.09%
2-2 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.08%
3-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.09%
Bayern Munich
1-2
@
8.77%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 45.31%
0-1 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 45.31%
