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Bundesliga

Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Bayern logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Bayern

Schmidt (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Schalke 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
15.9% (0.052000000000001 0.05)17.3% (0.117 0.12)66.79% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 64.06% (-0.37 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.03% (-0.501 -0.5)27.96% (0.491 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.3% (-0.623 -0.62)48.7% (0.613 0.61)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)30.49% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.328 -0.33)66.71% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.16% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)7.83% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.21% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)27.78% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.9%
    Bayern Munich 66.79%
    Draw 17.3%
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 2.84% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 15.9%
1-1 @ 7.22% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.39% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.3%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.75% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 6.58% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 4.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 4.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-5 @ 2.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.5% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-6 @ 1.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-6 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 66.79%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Bayern

Werder Bremen
21.7%
Draw
16.7%
Bayern Munich
61.7%
60
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-3
Bayern
Fullkrug (86')
Sargent (70')
Goretzka (22'), Gnabry (35'), Lewandowski (67')
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 8
Bayern
1-1
Werder Bremen
Coman (62')
Pavard (15')
Eggestein (45')
Bittencourt (32'), Augustinsson (43'), Kohfeldt (80'), Pavlenka (90+4')
Jun 16, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
0-1
Bayern
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
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