Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
  • Niklas Schmidt 87' goal
  • goal Serge Gnabry 62'
  • goal Leroy Sane 72'

Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Schalke 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Niclas Fullkrug

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 2.30pm
Bayern 2 - 0 Hertha Berlin
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Serge Gnabry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result

Werder Bremen 15.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 17.3% ▲ (+0.12)
Bayern Munich 66.79% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.06% ▼ (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.03% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 2.5 27.96% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 3.5 51.3% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 3.5 48.7% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 4.5 31.94% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 4.5 68.05% ▲ (+0.58)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 69.5% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 0.5 30.49% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 33.29% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 66.71% ▲ (+0.32)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 92.16% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 7.83% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 72.21% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 27.78% ▲ (+0.42)

Score analysis

Werder Bremen 15.9%
Draw 17.3%
Bayern Munich 66.79%
Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 15.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.3%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.13)
1-4 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.06)
1-5 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.03)
2-5 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
3-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
1-6 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 66.79%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Bayern
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
6
1
HT : 4 1
FT
Werder Bremen
  • Jamal Musiala 6' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 22' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 26' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 28' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 82' goal
  • Mathys Tel 84' goal
  • goal Anthony Jung 10'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Bayern
  • Joshua Sargent 70' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 86' goal
  • goal Leon Goretzka 22'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 35'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Bayern
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Werder Bremen
  • Benjamin Pavard 15' yellowcard
  • Kingsley Coman 62' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bittencourt 32'
  • yellowcard Ludwig Augustinsson 43'
  • goal Maximilian Eggestein 45'
  • yellowcard Florian Kohfeldt 80'
  • yellowcard Jiri Pavlenka 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
Jun 16, 2020 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Weserstadion
Bayern
  • Maximilian Eggestein 56' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Langkamp 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 19'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 43'
  • redcard Alphonso Davies 79'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Bayern
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Arena (München)
Werder Bremen
  • Benjamin Pavard 16' yellowcard
  • Jerome Boateng 18' yellowcard
  • Philippe Coutinho 45' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 45' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 63' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 72' goal
  • Thomas Muller 75' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 78' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Gross 22'
  • goal Milot Rashica 24'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 62'
DFB-Pokal
Werder Bremen
Apr 24, 2019 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Weserstadion (Bremen)
Bayern
  • Davy Klaassen 25' yellowcard
  • Yuya Osako 74' goal
  • Milot Rashica 75' goal
  • Max Kruse 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 26'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 36'
  • goal Thomas Muller 63'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 80'
  • yellowcard James Rodriguez 84'
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 90'

Form Data

Schalke 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Hertha Berlin 2 - 4 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Freiburg
Mainz 2 - 2 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Hoffenheim
Borussia M'bach 2 - 2 Werder Bremen
Bayern 2 - 0 Hertha Berlin
Mainz 3 - 1 Bayern
Bayern 1 - 1 Man City
Bayern 1 - 1 Hoffenheim
Man City 3 - 0 Bayern
Freiburg 0 - 1 Bayern