Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-3 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
16.27% ( 0) | 18.14% ( -0) | 65.58% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 61.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.54% ( 0) | 31.45% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.07% ( 0) | 52.92% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% ( 0) | 32.36% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.13% ( 0) | 68.87% ( -0) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.98% ( 0) | 9.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.28% ( 0) | 30.71% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 4.47% 1-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.02% 2-0 @ 1.86% 3-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.95% Total : 16.27% | 1-1 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.14% | 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-2 @ 8.45% 1-3 @ 7.64% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-3 @ 6.77% 1-4 @ 4.6% 2-3 @ 4.31% 0-4 @ 4.07% 2-4 @ 2.59% 1-5 @ 2.21% 0-5 @ 1.96% 2-5 @ 1.25% 3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 4.2% Total : 65.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 41 | 10 | 31 | 33 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 26 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
7 | Freiburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
8 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |