Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Hamburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga

Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Bayern logo

Freiburg
0 - 1
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-0)
de Ligt (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-3 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
16.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)18.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Both teams to score 61.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.92%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.28% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.71%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 16.27%
    Bayern Munich 65.58%
    Draw 18.14%
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.47%
1-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.02%
2-0 @ 1.86%
3-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.27%
1-1 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.14%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-2 @ 8.45%
1-3 @ 7.64%
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-3 @ 6.77%
1-4 @ 4.6%
2-3 @ 4.31%
0-4 @ 4.07%
2-4 @ 2.59%
1-5 @ 2.21%
0-5 @ 1.96%
2-5 @ 1.25%
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 65.58%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Bayern

Freiburg
16.7%
Draw
12.1%
Bayern Munich
71.2%
66
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Freiburg
Upamecano (19')
Upamecano (83'), Pavard (90+3'), Musiala (90+3'), Mane (90+2')
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
Gregoritsch (36'), Sildillia (61')
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Bayern
5-0
Freiburg
Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')

Gregoritsch (50')
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')
Haberer (90+3')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!