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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Bayern logo

Freiburg
0 - 1
Bayern


Kubler (90+1'), Holer (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
de Ligt (51')
Mane (74'), Kimmich (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 1-2 Bayern Munich

Bayern will be desperate to avenge their cup defeat to Freiburg by claiming all three points at Europa-Park Stadion on Saturday, especially with Dortmund able to leapfrog them at the top of the table should Streich's side prove victorious once again. The hosts will look to hit Bayern in transition and from set-pieces once again, but we expect Bayern to stand tall this time around and claim a crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-3 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
16.27% (0.0010000000000012 0) 18.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 65.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Both teams to score 61.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.92%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.28% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.71%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 16.27%
    Bayern Munich 65.58%
    Draw 18.14%
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.47%
1-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.02%
2-0 @ 1.86%
3-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.27%
1-1 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.14%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-2 @ 8.45%
1-3 @ 7.64%
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-3 @ 6.77%
1-4 @ 4.6%
2-3 @ 4.31%
0-4 @ 4.07%
2-4 @ 2.59%
1-5 @ 2.21%
0-5 @ 1.96%
2-5 @ 1.25%
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 65.58%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Bayern

Freiburg
16.7%
Draw
12.1%
Bayern Munich
71.2%
66
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Freiburg
Upamecano (19')
Upamecano (83'), Pavard (90+3'), Musiala (90+3'), Mane (90+2')
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
Gregoritsch (36'), Sildillia (61')
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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