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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
2 - 1
Freiburg

Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haberer (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
73.11%16.03%10.85%
Both teams to score 53.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.46%34.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.52%56.49%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.84%8.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.4%28.61%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.88%42.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.46%78.54%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 73.11%
    Freiburg 10.85%
    Draw 16.03%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-0 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.8%
4-0 @ 5.65%
4-1 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 3.37%
5-0 @ 2.83%
5-1 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 2.11%
6-0 @ 1.18%
5-2 @ 1.06%
6-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 73.11%
1-1 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 4.04%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.03%
1-2 @ 3.22%
0-1 @ 2.97%
0-2 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 10.85%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
88.4%
Draw
8.5%
Freiburg
3.1%
129