DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals

Apr 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
1 - 2
Freiburg

Upamecano (19')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Freiburg
67.06% ( -0)	17.52%	15.41% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.88% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.87%

30.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.66% (

51.34% (

-0)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.66% (

-0)

8.34% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.94% (

-0)

29.06% (

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

32.48% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.99% (

69.01% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 67.06%

Freiburg 15.41%

Draw 17.52%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.78% 3-0 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.73% 4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.4% 5-0 @ 2.14% 5-2 @ 1.35% 4-3 @ 1.02% 6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.75% Total : 67.06%	1-1 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.28% 0-0 @ 2.71% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.52%	1-2 @ 4.25% 0-1 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 15.41%