Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz
3 - 1
Bayern

Ajorque (65'), Barreiro (73'), Caricol (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mane (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.48%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 0-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern Munich
21.22% ( 0)	20.3% ( 0)	58.48%

Both teams to score 63.08% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.33% (

-0)

33.67% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.51% (

-0)

55.49% (

0.01)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0)

28.8% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

-0)

64.65% (

0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.6%

11.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.83% (

-0)

36.17% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 21.22%

Bayern Munich 58.48%

Draw 20.3%

Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.53% 1-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.22% Total : 21.22%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.3%	1-2 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.97% 0-3 @ 5.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.34% 1-4 @ 3.79% 0-4 @ 3.04% 2-4 @ 2.36% 1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.32% 2-5 @ 1.02% 3-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.91% Total : 58.48%