/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
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Ludovic Ajorque
65'
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Leandro Barreiro
73'
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Aaron Caricol
79'
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Sadio Mane
29'
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.48%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 0-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result
Mainz 05
21.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
20.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Bayern Munich
58.48%
Both Teams to Score:
63.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
33.67%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
44.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
55.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
25.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
74.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
71.21%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
28.8%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
35.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
64.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
88.6%
Under 0.5
11.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
63.83%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
36.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Mainz 05
21.22%
Draw
20.3%
Bayern Munich
58.48%
Mainz 05
2-1
@
5.53%
1-0 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 21.22%
1-0 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 21.22%
Draw
1-1
@
8.88%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.3%
2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.3%
Bayern Munich
1-2
@
9.64%
0-2 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.97%
0-3 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.34%
1-4 @ 3.79%
0-4 @ 3.04%
2-4 @ 2.36%
1-5 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.32%
2-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 58.48%
0-2 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.97%
0-3 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.34%
1-4 @ 3.79%
0-4 @ 3.04%
2-4 @ 2.36%
1-5 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.32%
2-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 58.48%
Joshua Kimmich
43'