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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Bayern
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Pavard (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kramaric (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.66%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
79.51% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)12.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)7.86% (0.0068999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.05% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)47.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.7% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)5.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.13% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)42.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)78.97% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 79.51%
    Hoffenheim 7.86%
    Draw 12.62%
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
2-0 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 8.14%
4-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.55%
6-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-1 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 79.51%
1-1 @ 5.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 12.62%
1-2 @ 2.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 7.86%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hoffenheim

Bayern Munich
84.9%
Draw
11.3%
Hoffenheim
3.8%
53
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-1
Hoffenheim
Boateng (32'), Muller (43'), Lewandowski (57'), Gnabry (63')
Roca (53')
Kramaric (44')
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-1
Bayern
Bicakcic (16'), Dabour (24'), Kramaric (77', 90+2' pen.)
Geiger (21'), Baumgartner (28'), Kramaric (45+1')
Kimmich (36')
Neuer (90+1'), Boateng (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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