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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Bayern
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Pavard (17')
Pavard (57'), Upamecano (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kramaric (71')
Akpoguma (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-0 Bayern
Tuesday, April 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Hoffenheim

Bayern must wish they were instead facing Hoffenheim this time last month, when their forthcoming opponents had collected only two points from 14 matches, stretching back to a 2-0 defeat to the Bavarians in October. However, while Matarazzo's side's improved form undoubtedly makes them tricky opposition, Tuchel's side should possess more than enough quality to keep them at arm's length for the most part and remain top of the table with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.66%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
79.51% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 12.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 7.86% (0.0068999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.05% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)47.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.7% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)5.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.13% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)42.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)78.97% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 79.51%
    Hoffenheim 7.86%
    Draw 12.62%
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
2-0 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 8.14%
4-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.55%
6-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-1 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 79.51%
1-1 @ 5.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 12.62%
1-2 @ 2.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 7.86%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hoffenheim

Bayern Munich
84.9%
Draw
11.3%
Hoffenheim
3.8%
53
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-1
Hoffenheim
Boateng (32'), Muller (43'), Lewandowski (57'), Gnabry (63')
Roca (53')
Kramaric (44')
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-1
Bayern
Bicakcic (16'), Dabour (24'), Kramaric (77', 90+2' pen.)
Geiger (21'), Baumgartner (28'), Kramaric (45+1')
Kimmich (36')
Neuer (90+1'), Boateng (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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