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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 9, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Schalke

Hoffenheim
2 - 0
Schalke

Kral (22' og.), Bebou (70' pen.)
Baumgartner (16'), Geiger (40'), Kabak (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 3-1 Schalke 04

Hoffenheim appear to have finally turned a corner with time to spare in terms of securing their survival this season, and we expect them to have too much quality for the visitors. Schalke's confidence could be bruised after seeing their unbeaten run come to an empathic end against Leverkusen in their most recent match, and it would not be a surprise if their form continues to slide across the coming weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawSchalke 04
44.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 23.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 31.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.93% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.38% (0.15 0.15)39.61% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.04% (0.159 0.16)61.96% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (0.064999999999998 0.06)17.95% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (0.111 0.11)48.78% (-0.113 -0.11)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (0.084000000000003 0.08)24.52% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (0.116 0.12)58.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 44.99%
    Schalke 04 31.56%
    Draw 23.44%
HoffenheimDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.56%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Schalke

Hoffenheim
73.1%
Draw
9.6%
Schalke 04
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Hoffenheim
5-1
Schalke
Dabour (5', 43'), Angelino (16'), Kabak (51'), Kaderabek (63')
Drexler (69')
Matriciani (41')
Oct 14, 2022 7.30pm
Schalke
0-3
Hoffenheim

Greiml (10')
Skov (11' pen., 59'), Dabour (45+2')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-2
Schalke
Kramaric (47'), Akpoguma (52'), Baumgartner (60'), Bebou (64')
Adamyan (62')
Uth (12'), Mustafi (42')
Serdar (35'), Uth (56')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
Schalke
4-0
Hoffenheim
Hoppe (42', 57', 63'), Harit (80')
Kabak (24'), Uth (71')

Bogarde (13'), Kramaric (42'), Gacinovic (50'), Baumgartner (52')
Mar 7, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Werder Bremen146442224-222
9Wolfsburg146353125621
10Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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