Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Apr 9, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
2 - 0
Schalke

Kral (22' og.), Bebou (70' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Schalke 04

All competitions

Last Game: Schalke 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Schalke 04
44.99% ( 0.01)	23.45% ( -0.03)	31.56% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 61.93% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.38% (

0.15)

39.61% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.04% (

0.16)

61.96% (

-0.16)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

0.06)

17.95% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.22% (

0.11)

48.78% (

-0.11)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.48% (

0.08)

24.52% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.01% (

0.12)

58.99% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 44.99%

Schalke 04 31.56%

Draw 23.44%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Schalke 04
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 44.99%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.56%