MX23RW : Saturday, December 9 21:29:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Stuttgart
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VfL Bochum
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Werder Bremen logo
Mainz
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Onisiwo (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Gross (28'), Stage (42'), Ducksch (59'), Gruev (81'), Stark (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 3-1 Werder Bremen

Mainz have been blowing sides away in the league of late, scoring 10 goals in their games with Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach. Their next opponents are very much out-of-form, meaning a routine home win is potentially on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
56.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 21.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.76% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)40.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23%62.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.81% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.1% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)32.15% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.63% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 56.38%
    Werder Bremen 21.76%
    Draw 21.85%
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Mainz vs Werder Bremen

Mainz 05
86.8%
Draw
7.9%
Werder Bremen
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz

Eggestein (77'), Bittencourt (79')
Quaison (10', 19', 38'), Pavlenka (15' og.), Mateta (81')
Fernandes (18'), Baku (79')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen13112038112735
2Bayern MunichBayern13102144143032
3Stuttgart13100333151830
4RB Leipzig1492334151929
5Borussia DortmundDortmund147432823525
6Hoffenheim147252824423
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt145632416821
8Freiburg146351723-621
9Augsburg144552327-417
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach144462831-316
11Wolfsburg145181825-716
12Werder Bremen144282027-714
13Heidenheim144282130-914
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum142751529-1413
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin133191528-1310
16FC Koln132381024-149
17SV Darmstadt 98142391737-209
18Mainz 05Mainz131571226-148

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