Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
FC Koln1 - 1Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: FC Koln 0-2 Mainz 05
Despite having a relatively poor record away to Koln, Mainz did beat them 5-0 in the reverse fixture back in October, and are in much better shape. Koln have struggled to build on good results this season and could come undone again on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
49.9% ( 0.01) | 23.96% ( 0) | 26.15% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
