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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Bayern
2 - 0
Hertha Berlin

Gnabry (69'), Coman (79')
Goretzka (25'), Cancelo (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-0 Hertha Berlin

We can envisage Bayern coming out with a major point to prove after their recent disappointments in all three competitions that they were fighting to win, as they desperately aim to avoid ending the season trophyless and move back to the top of the table. Hertha's upcoming home fixtures against Stuttgart and Bochum will largely dictate whether they manage to pull themselves out of relegation trouble or not, but we expect them to edge closer to demotion with a heavy defeat on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 6.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
82.72% (0.88500000000001 0.89) 10.85% (-0.321 -0.32) 6.43% (-0.559 -0.56)
Both teams to score 54.51% (-2.137 -2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.66% (-0.80499999999999 -0.8)23.34% (0.811 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.28% (-1.091 -1.09)42.72% (1.097 1.1)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.89% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)4.11% (0.018 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.77% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)17.23% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.84% (-2.218 -2.22)43.16% (2.222 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58% (-1.923 -1.92)79.42% (1.928 1.93)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.72%
    Hertha Berlin 6.43%
    Draw 10.85%
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
3-0 @ 9.61% (0.497 0.5)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.478 0.48)
3-1 @ 8.08% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
4-0 @ 7.67% (0.387 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 6.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.66% (0.307 0.31)
5-0 @ 4.9% (0.241 0.24)
5-1 @ 4.12% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.242 -0.24)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.197 -0.2)
6-0 @ 2.61% (0.125 0.13)
6-1 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.73% (-0.128 -0.13)
7-0 @ 1.19% (0.056 0.06)
7-1 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-2 @ 0.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 82.72%
1-1 @ 4.76% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-0 @ 1.77% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 10.85%
1-2 @ 2% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-1 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 6.43%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hertha Berlin

Bayern Munich
94.1%
Draw
2.0%
Hertha Berlin
3.9%
51
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Bayern
Lukebakio (40'), Selke (45' pen.)
Musiala (12'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (37', 38')
Jan 23, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 20
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Bayern
Ekkelenkamp (80')
Serdar (70')
Tolisso (25'), Muller (45'), Sane (75'), Gnabry (79')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 3
Bayern
5-0
Hertha Berlin
Muller (6'), Lewandowski (35', 70', 84'), Musiala (49')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
gameweek 20
Hertha Berlin
0-1
Bayern

Darida (41'), Khedira (90+2')
Coman (21')
Pavard (31')
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
gameweek 3
Bayern
4-3
Hertha Berlin
Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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