Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Bayern
Apr 30, 2023 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Hertha Berlin
  • Serge Gnabry 69' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 79' goal

Bayern Munich vs Hertha Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Mainz 3 - 1 Bayern
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Serge Gnabry

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin 2 - 4 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dodi Lukebakio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 6.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 82.72% ▲ (+0.89)
Draw 10.85% ▼ (-0.33)
Hertha Berlin 6.43% ▼ (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.51% ▼ (-2.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.66% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 2.5 23.34% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 3.5 57.28% ▼ (-1.10)
Under 3.5 42.72% ▲ (+1.10)
Over 4.5 37.75% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 4.5 62.25% ▲ (+1.12)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 95.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 4.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 82.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 17.23% ▲ (+0.06)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 56.84% ▼ (-2.22)
Under 0.5 43.16% ▲ (+2.23)
Over 1.5 20.58% ▼ (-1.93)
Under 1.5 79.42% ▲ (+1.93)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 82.72%
Draw 10.85%
Hertha Berlin 6.43%
Bayern Munich
3-0 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.50)
2-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.48)
3-1 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.39)
2-1 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.31)
5-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.25)
5-1 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.25)
4-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.20)
6-0 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.13)
6-1 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.13)
7-0 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 5.81%
Total : 82.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.23)
0-0 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 10.85%
Hertha Berlin
1-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.14)
0-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 6.43%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Hertha Berlin
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT
Bayern
  • Dodi Lukebakio 40' goal
  • Davie Selke 45' goal
  • goal Jamal Musiala 12'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 37'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 38'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Hertha Berlin
Jan 23, 2022 4.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Bayern
  • Suat Serdar 70' yellowcard
  • Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 80' goal
  • goal Corentin Tolisso 25'
  • goal Thomas Muller 45'
  • goal Leroy Sane 75'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Bayern
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Hertha Berlin
  • Thomas Muller 6' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 35' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 49' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 70' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 84' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Hertha Berlin
Feb 5, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Bayern
  • Vladimir Darida 41' yellowcard
  • Sami Khedira 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kingsley Coman 21'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 31'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Bayern
Oct 4, 2020 5.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
Hertha Berlin
  • Robert Lewandowski 40' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 51' goal
  • Lucas Hernandez 58' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 85' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 85' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 90'+3' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jhon Cordoba 13'
  • goal Jhon Cordoba 59'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 71'
  • yellowcard Krzysztof Piatek 84'
  • goal Jessic Ngankam 88'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Mittelstadt 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Hertha Berlin
Jan 19, 2020 2.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Olympiastadion
Bayern
  • Vladimir Darida 7' yellowcard
  • Rune Jarstein 64' yellowcard
  • Dedryck Boyata 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 19'
  • goal Thomas Muller 60'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 73'
  • goal Thiago Alcantara 76'
  • goal Ivan Perisic 84'

Form Data

Mainz 3 - 1 Bayern
Bayern 1 - 1 Man City
Bayern 1 - 1 Hoffenheim
Man City 3 - 0 Bayern
Freiburg 0 - 1 Bayern
Bayern 1 - 2 Freiburg
Hertha Berlin 2 - 4 Werder Bremen
Schalke 5 - 2 Hertha Berlin
Hertha Berlin 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
Freiburg 1 - 1 Hertha Berlin
Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Hertha Berlin
Hertha Berlin 1 - 1 Mainz