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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Bayern
2 - 0
Hertha Berlin

Gnabry (69'), Coman (79')
Goretzka (25'), Cancelo (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-0 Hertha Berlin

We can envisage Bayern coming out with a major point to prove after their recent disappointments in all three competitions that they were fighting to win, as they desperately aim to avoid ending the season trophyless and move back to the top of the table. Hertha's upcoming home fixtures against Stuttgart and Bochum will largely dictate whether they manage to pull themselves out of relegation trouble or not, but we expect them to edge closer to demotion with a heavy defeat on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 6.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
82.72% (0.88500000000001 0.89) 10.85% (-0.321 -0.32) 6.43% (-0.559 -0.56)
Both teams to score 54.51% (-2.137 -2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.66% (-0.80499999999999 -0.8)23.34% (0.811 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.28% (-1.091 -1.09)42.72% (1.097 1.1)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.89% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)4.11% (0.018 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.77% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)17.23% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.84% (-2.218 -2.22)43.16% (2.222 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58% (-1.923 -1.92)79.42% (1.928 1.93)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.72%
    Hertha Berlin 6.43%
    Draw 10.85%
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
3-0 @ 9.61% (0.497 0.5)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.478 0.48)
3-1 @ 8.08% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
4-0 @ 7.67% (0.387 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 6.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.66% (0.307 0.31)
5-0 @ 4.9% (0.241 0.24)
5-1 @ 4.12% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.242 -0.24)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.197 -0.2)
6-0 @ 2.61% (0.125 0.13)
6-1 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.73% (-0.128 -0.13)
7-0 @ 1.19% (0.056 0.06)
7-1 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-2 @ 0.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 82.72%
1-1 @ 4.76% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-0 @ 1.77% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 10.85%
1-2 @ 2% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-1 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 6.43%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hertha Berlin

Bayern Munich
94.1%
Draw
2.0%
Hertha Berlin
3.9%
51
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Bayern
Lukebakio (40'), Selke (45' pen.)
Musiala (12'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (37', 38')
Jan 23, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 20
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Bayern
Ekkelenkamp (80')
Serdar (70')
Tolisso (25'), Muller (45'), Sane (75'), Gnabry (79')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 3
Bayern
5-0
Hertha Berlin
Muller (6'), Lewandowski (35', 70', 84'), Musiala (49')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
gameweek 20
Hertha Berlin
0-1
Bayern

Darida (41'), Khedira (90+2')
Coman (21')
Pavard (31')
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
gameweek 3
Bayern
4-3
Hertha Berlin
Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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