Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
2 - 0
Hertha Berlin

Gnabry (69'), Coman (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 6.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Hertha Berlin
82.72% ( 0.89)	10.85% ( -0.32)	6.43% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 54.51% (

-2.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.66% (

-0.8)

23.34% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.28% (

-1.09)

42.72% (

1.1)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.89% (

-0.01)

4.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.77% (

-0.05)

17.23% (

0.06)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.84% (

-2.22)

43.16% (

2.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.58% (

-1.92)

79.42% (

1.93)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 82.72%

Hertha Berlin 6.43%

Draw 10.85%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Hertha Berlin
3-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.31) 5-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.2) 6-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.13) 6-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13) 7-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) 7-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 6-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.89% Total : 82.72%	1-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.18% Total : 10.85%	1-2 @ 2% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 6.43%