Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.