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Bundesliga

Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Schalke
5 - 2
Hertha Berlin

Skarke (3'), Bulter (13', 78'), Terodde (48'), Kaminski (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jovetic (45+3'), Richter (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawHertha Berlin
37.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)25.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)47.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.012 0.01)69.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.014000000000003 0.01)60% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 37.95%
    Hertha Berlin 36.67%
    Draw 25.38%
Schalke 04DrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.01%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.67%

How you voted: Schalke vs Hertha Berlin

Schalke 04
45.7%
Draw
32.9%
Hertha Berlin
21.4%
70
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-1
Schalke
Tousart (49'), Kanga (88')
Kanga (75')
Mollet (85')
May 12, 2021 5pm
Schalke
1-2
Hertha Berlin
Harit (6')
Harit (43'), Mustafi (54'), Kolasinac (68')
Boyata (19'), Ngankam (74')
Darida (50'), Lukebakio (67'), Boyata (68'), Michelbrink (90+1')
Lukebakio (89')
Jan 2, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Schalke
Guendouzi (36'), Cordoba (52'), Piatek (80')
Tousart (14'), Guendouzi (51')

Hoppe (37'), Mascarell (58')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Schalke
3-2
Hertha Berlin
Caligiuri (76'), Harit (82'), Raman (115')
Harit (64'), Raman (80'), Miranda (105'), Oczipka (111')
Nubel (102')
Kopke (12'), Piatek (39')
Torunarigha (85'), Ciljan Skjelbred (103')
Torunarigha (100')
Jan 31, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-0
Schalke

Mittelstadt (91')

Oczipka (71')