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Bundesliga

Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Schalke
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

van den Berg (81'), Drexler (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ducksch (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 4-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Schalke 04 in this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawWerder Bremen
38.67% (-0.328 -0.33)23.68% (-0.292 -0.29)37.65% (0.615 0.62)
Both teams to score 62.71% (1.14 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (1.463 1.46)39.26% (-1.469 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (1.516 1.52)61.59% (-1.521 -1.52)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (0.48100000000001 0.48)20.56% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (0.758 0.76)53.08% (-0.762 -0.76)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (0.959 0.96)21.05% (-0.964 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (1.473 1.47)53.85% (-1.479 -1.48)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 38.67%
    Werder Bremen 37.65%
    Draw 23.67%
Schalke 04DrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.373 -0.37)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.118 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.67%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 6.57% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.163 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.104 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 37.65%

How you voted: Schalke vs Werder Bremen

Schalke 04
28.1%
Draw
20.3%
Werder Bremen
51.6%
64
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 13
Werder Bremen
2-1
Schalke
Fullkrug (30'), Ducksch (76')
Drexler (89')
Terodde (43')
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 31
Schalke
1-4
Werder Bremen
Terodde (88')
Vindheim (31'), Drexler (37')
Gruev (9'), Fullkrug (26'), Ducksch (51', 53')
Rapp (6'), Jung (67'), Bittencourt (84')
Nov 20, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 14
Werder Bremen
1-1
Schalke
Fullkrug (90+7' pen.)
Fullkrug (43')
Terodde (82')
Aydin (20'), Latza (32'), Palsson (41'), Pieringer (90+1'), Grammozis (90+6')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 19
Werder Bremen
1-1
Schalke
Mohwald (77')
Mascarell (38')
Stambouli (63'), Fahrmann (66'), Huntelaar (88'), Thiaw (90+2')
Sep 26, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 2
Schalke
1-3
Werder Bremen
Uth (90+3')
Paciencia (35'), Stambouli (36'), Uth (38'), Boujellab (55'), Kabak (58'), Bentaleb (63')
Kabak (84')
Fullkrug (22', 37', 59')
Mbom (74'), Klaassen (78')