/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffreilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fschlog.png)
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Michael Gregoritsch
7'
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Michael Gregoritsch
35'
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Lucas Holer
52'
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Matthias Ginter
82'
Freiburg vs Schalke 04 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F15%2Fchristian-streich.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result
Freiburg
43.18%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
24.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Schalke 04
32.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
58.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.08%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
43.92%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
33.69%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
66.31%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
17.3%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
82.7%
▲
(+0.04)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5
79.53%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
20.46%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
47.07%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
52.93%
▲
(+0.05)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5
73.89%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
26.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
38.83%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
61.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Freiburg
43.18%
Draw
24.43%
Schalke 04
32.38%
Freiburg
2-1
@
9.03%
1-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.18%
1-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.18%
Draw
1-1
@
11.38%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.43%
2-2 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.43%
Schalke 04
1-2
@
7.64%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 32.38%
0-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 32.38%
