Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
4 - 0
Schalke

Gregoritsch (7', 35'), Holer (52'), Ginter (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, April 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Schalke 04

All competitions

Last Game: Schalke 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Schalke 04
43.18% ( -0.01)	24.43% ( 0.01)	32.38% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.77% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.08% (

-0.06)

43.92% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.69% (

-0.05)

66.31% (

0.05)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53% (

-0.03)

20.46% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07% (

-0.04)

52.93% (

0.04)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.89% (

-0.03)

26.11% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.83% (

-0.04)

61.17% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 43.18%

Schalke 04 32.38%

Draw 24.43%

Freiburg	Draw	Schalke 04
2-1 @ 9.03% 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 43.18%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.38%