Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Freiburg

Philipp (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sallai (66'), Holer (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Freiburg
41.74% ( -0.16)	24.35% ( -0.12)	33.91% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.91% (

0.61)

43.08% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51% (

0.6)

65.48% (

-0.6)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23% (

0.18)

20.77% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.59% (

0.29)

53.41% (

-0.29)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2% (

0.44)

24.8% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.62% (

0.62)

59.38% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 41.74%

Freiburg 33.91%

Draw 24.35%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.91%