Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.