Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
0 - 1
Freiburg

FT(HT: 0-0)

Doan (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 4-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Freiburg
51.37% ( -0.04)	24.73% ( 0.02)	23.9% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.54% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.46% (

-0.06)

50.53% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.54% (

-0.05)

72.45% (

0.05)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

-0.04)

19.66% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

-0.06)

51.64% (

0.06)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.15% (

-0.02)

35.85% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.38% (

-0.02)

72.62% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 51.37%

Freiburg 23.9%

Draw 24.73%

FC Koln	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 51.37%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.9%