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Stuttgart
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo
Bayern
1 - 3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig

All but ending the closest Bundesliga title race in 13 years, Bayern are set to sweep aside Leipzig; leaving the pressure piled on Dortmund. At their fluent best against Schalke, the champions may be stepping up in class this week, but such are their attacking riches they can tame the Red Bulls once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
66.88% (-0.304 -0.3) 16.77% (0.124 0.12) 16.34% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 67.5% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.72% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)24.28% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.03% (-0.362 -0.36)43.96% (0.361 0.36)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.13% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)6.87% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.73% (-0.337 -0.34)25.26% (0.335 0.34)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 66.88%
    RB Leipzig 16.34%
    Draw 16.77%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.23% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 5.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 3.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.8% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 6.53% (0.075 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.89% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.77%
1-2 @ 4.21% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 2.44% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 16.34%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
71.7%
Draw
17.4%
RB Leipzig
10.9%
92
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Halstenberg (52')
Schlager (41'), Laimer (71'), Rose (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
Musiala (35'), Goretzka (52'), Upamecano (66')
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 21
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
1-4
Bayern
Laimer (58')
Lewandowski (12' pen.), Musiala (47'), Sane (54'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+2')
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-1
Bayern

Mukiele (26'), Sabitzer (37'), Upamecano (61')
Goretzka (38')
Kimmich (33'), Hernandez (81')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen13112038112735
2Bayern MunichBayern13102144143032
3Stuttgart13100333151830
4RB Leipzig1492334151929
5Borussia DortmundDortmund147432823525
6Hoffenheim147252824423
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt145632416821
8Freiburg146351723-621
9Augsburg144552327-417
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach144462831-316
11Wolfsburg145181825-716
12Werder Bremen144282027-714
13Heidenheim144282130-914
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum142751529-1413
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin133191528-1310
16FC Koln132381024-149
17SV Darmstadt 98142391737-209
18Mainz 05Mainz131571226-148

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