Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.