Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Serge Gnabry 25' goal
  • goal Konrad Laimer 64'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 76'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 86'

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Bayern 6 - 0 Schalke
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Serge Gnabry

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Bayern Munich 66.88% (-0.31)
Draw 16.77% (+0.13)
RB Leipzig 16.34% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.5% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 75.72% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 24.28% (+0.28)
Over 3.5 56.03% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 43.96% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 36.5% (-0.36)
Under 4.5 63.5% (+0.36)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 93.13% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 6.87% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 74.73% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 25.26% (+0.34)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 72.48% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.52% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.97% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.02% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 66.88%
Draw 16.77%
RB Leipzig 16.34%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.75% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.78% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.23% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.06% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 5.04% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 3.37% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.8% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.81% (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.27%
Total : 66.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.53% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.64% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.89% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.77%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 4.21% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 2.44% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.43% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.57% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 16.34%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marcel Halstenberg 52' goal
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 37'
DFL-Supercup
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
3
5
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Mohamed Simakan 36' yellowcard
  • Marcel Halstenberg 59' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 77' goal
  • Dani Olmo 89' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 14'
  • goal Sadio Mane 31'
  • goal Benjamin Pavard 45'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 64'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 73'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 76'
  • yellowcard Leroy Sane 87'
  • yellowcard Manuel Neuer 90'+7'
  • goal Leroy Sane 90'+8'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Thomas Muller 12' goal
  • Lucas Hernandez 22' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 44' goal
  • Josko Gvardiol 58' goal
  • goal Andre Silva 27'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 45'+1'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 53'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 63'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Konrad Laimer 58' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 12'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 47'
  • goal Leroy Sane 54'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nordi Mukiele 26' yellowcard
  • Marcel Sabitzer 37' yellowcard
  • Dayot Upamecano 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 33'
  • goal Leon Goretzka 38'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Jamal Musiala 30' goal
  • Thomas Muller 34' goal
  • Thomas Muller 75' goal
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 19'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 36'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 48'
  • yellowcard Nordi Mukiele 51'