Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Willi Orban 87' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 90'+6' goal
  • goal Leonardo Bittencourt 70'

RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
May 6, 2023 2.30pm
Freiburg 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Niclas Fullkrug

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.42%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 70.42% (+0.94)
Draw 16.95% (-0.35)
Werder Bremen 12.63% (-0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.86% (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.94% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 34.06% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 44.07% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 55.93% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 25.5% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 74.5% (-0.16)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 91.37% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 8.62% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 70.24% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 29.76% (-0.61)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 61.14% (-0.78)
Under 0.5 38.86% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 24.4% (-0.74)
Under 1.5 75.59% (+0.74)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 70.41%
Draw 16.95%
Werder Bremen 12.63%
RB Leipzig
2-0 @ 10.06% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 8.22% (+0.22)
1-0 @ 8.21% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.77% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 5.04% (+0.19)
4-1 @ 4.76% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.47% (+0.13)
5-1 @ 2.33% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.01% (-93.80)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 70.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.76% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.95%
Werder Bremen
1-2 @ 3.67% (-0.15)
0-1 @ 3.17% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 12.63%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Christian Gross 57' goal
  • goal Andre Silva 13'
  • goal Xaver Schlager 71'
DFB-Pokal
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
ET wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
  • Leonardo Bittencourt 105'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 35'
  • goal Hwang Hee-chan 93'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 99'
  • yellowcard Peter Gulacsi 101'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 120'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Milot Rashica 61' goal
  • goal Dani Olmo 23'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 32'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 41'
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 63'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marcel Sabitzer 26' goal
  • Dani Olmo 41' goal
  • Kevin Kampl 44' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 47' yellowcard
  • Dayot Upamecano 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ludwig Augustinsson 25'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2020 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Lukas Klostermann 18' goal
  • Patrik Schick 39' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 46' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximilian Eggestein 16'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2019 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
  • goal Willi Orban 13'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 29'
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 35'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 43'
  • redcard Konrad Laimer 64'
  • goal Marcelo Saracchi 83'