Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 14, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

Orban (87'), Szoboszlai (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bittencourt (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.42%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Werder Bremen
70.42% ( 0.93)	16.95% ( -0.34)	12.63% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 55.86% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.94% (

0.16)

34.06% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.07% (

0.18)

55.93% (

-0.19)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.37% (

0.25)

8.62% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.24% (

0.61)

29.76% (

-0.61)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.14% (

-0.77)

38.86% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.4% (

-0.74)

75.59% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 70.41%

Werder Bremen 12.63%

Draw 16.95%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.06) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 70.41%	1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.95%	1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.72% Total : 12.63%