Bundesliga Gameweek 30
RB Leipzig
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Christopher Nkunku 28' goal

RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 1 - 3 FC Koln
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 68.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 18.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Hoffenheim 13.67% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.92% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 36.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 41.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 58.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 23.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.97% ▼ (-0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 90.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 9.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 67.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 32.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 60.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.82% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 68.3%
Draw 18.02%
Hoffenheim 13.67%
RB Leipzig
2-0 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.07%
Total : 68.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56%
0-0 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.02%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 13.67%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
RB Leipzig
Feb 1, 2023 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Hoffenheim
  • Emil Forsberg 8' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 41' goal
  • Timo Werner 83' goal
  • goal Kasper Dolberg 76'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Hoffenheim
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Georginio Rutter 50' goal
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 17'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 57'
  • goal Dani Olmo 69'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Christopher Nkunku 5' goal
  • Marcel Halstenberg 20' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 44' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 71'
  • yellowcard Chris Richards 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Diadie Samassekou 12' goal
  • Florian Grillitsch 42' yellowcard
  • Moanes Dabour 68' goal
  • Havard Nordtveit 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Silva 35'
  • yellowcard Angelino 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
Apr 16, 2021 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 46'
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Kevin Vogt 50' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sessegnon 56' yellowcard
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 60'

Form Data

B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Augsburg
Hertha Berlin 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 0 Dortmund
RB Leipzig 0 - 3 Mainz
VfL Bochum 1 - 0 RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim 1 - 3 FC Koln
Bayern 1 - 1 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 2 - 0 Schalke
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Hertha Berlin
Freiburg 2 - 1 Hoffenheim