Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Nkunku (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Hoffenheim
68.31% ( 0.01)	18.02% ( -0.01)	13.67% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.26% (

0.01)

36.73% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.1% (

0.02)

58.9% (

-0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.19% (

9.81% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.42% (

0.01)

32.58% (

-0.01)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.89% (

39.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.18% (

75.82% (

-0)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 68.3%

Hoffenheim 13.67%

Draw 18.02%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 4.12% Total : 68.3%	1-1 @ 8.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.56% 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.02%	1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.79% Total : 13.67%