Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Freiburg
May 6, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • goal Kevin Kampl 73'

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
FC Koln 0 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vincenzo Grifo

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

Freiburg 24.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 22.35% ▲ (+0.07)
RB Leipzig 53.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.99% ▼ (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.36% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 39.64% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 38.01% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 61.99% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 4.5 20.57% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 4.5 79.43% ▲ (+0.28)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 70.54% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 29.46% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 34.53% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 65.47% ▲ (+0.27)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 85.04% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 14.96% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 56.63% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 43.37% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Freiburg 24.43%
Draw 22.35%
RB Leipzig 53.22%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.35%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4%
Total : 53.22%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Freiburg
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 4
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
RB Leipzig
  • Michael Gregoritsch 75' goal
  • goal Dani Olmo 13'
  • goal Benjamin Henrichs 14'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 37'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 45'+1'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
RB Leipzig
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Mohamed Simakan 54' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 56' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 78' goal
  • goal Lukas Kubler 66'
DFB-Pokal
Freiburg
May 21, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
RB Leipzig
  • Maximilian Eggestein 19' goal
  • Lukas Kubler 81' yellowcard
  • Philipp Lienhart 90' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 113' yellowcard
  • redcard Marcel Halstenberg 57'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 57'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 57'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 76'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 82'
  • yellowcard Domenico Tedesco 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 119'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
RB Leipzig
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Freiburg
  • Benjamin Henrichs 68' yellowcard
  • Angelino 90' goal
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 38'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Freiburg
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 64' goal
  • goal Emil Forsberg 32'
  • yellowcard Jesse Marsch 36'
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 44'
  • yellowcard Josko Gvardiol 57'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 85'
  • yellowcard Nordi Mukiele 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Freiburg
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Nicolas Hofler 52' yellowcard
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 41'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 64'
  • yellowcard Hwang Hee-chan 75'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 79'

Form Data

Freiburg 1 - 5 RB Leipzig
FC Koln 0 - 1 Freiburg
Freiburg 4 - 0 Schalke
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Freiburg
Freiburg 0 - 1 Bayern
Bayern 1 - 2 Freiburg
Freiburg 1 - 5 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Augsburg
Hertha Berlin 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 0 Dortmund