/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fschlog.png)
-
Thomas Muller
21'
-
Joshua Kimmich
29'
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Serge Gnabry
50'
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Serge Gnabry
65'
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Mathys Tel
80'
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Noussair Mazraoui
90'+2'
Bayern Munich vs Schalke 04 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F18%2Fbayern-munich.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 8.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Bayern Munich
78.17%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
13.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Schalke 04
8.4%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
53.33%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.59%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
29.4%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
49.53%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
50.47%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
30.31%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
69.69%
▲
(+0.07)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
93.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
6.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
77.09%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
22.91%
▲
(+0.03)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5
56.74%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
43.25%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
20.49%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
79.51%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
78.16%
Draw
13.43%
Schalke 04
8.4%
Bayern Munich
2-0
@
10.27%
▲
(+0.02)
3-0 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.78%
6-1 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 78.16%
3-0 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.78%
6-1 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 78.16%
Draw
1-1
@
6.13%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 13.43%
2-2 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 13.43%
Schalke 04
1-2
@
2.57%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 8.4%
0-1 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 8.4%
