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Bundesliga

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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Schalke

Mainz
2 - 3
Schalke

Barreiro (53'), Caricol (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bulter (26', 90+12' pen.), Krauss (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Mainz
Sunday, April 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last Game: Schalke 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawSchalke 04
54.76% (0.0039999999999978 0)22.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.33% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)39.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)62.01% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)14.46% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)30.51% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)66.73% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 54.76%
    Schalke 04 23.17%
    Draw 22.06%
Mainz 05DrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.06%
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 23.17%

How you voted: Mainz vs Schalke

Mainz 05
78.5%
Draw
15.1%
Schalke 04
6.5%
93
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 14
Schalke
1-0
Mainz
Terodde (10')
Mollet (21')
Mar 5, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 24
Schalke
0-0
Mainz

Kolasinac (9'), Mascarell (85')

Bell (47'), Szalai (51')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 7
Mainz
2-2
Schalke
Brosinski (6' pen.), Mateta (45+2' pen.)
Latza (64')
Uth (36'), St Juste (82' og.)
Kabak (44'), Laumann (54')
> Preview
Feb 16, 2020 5pm
gameweek 22
Mainz
0-0
Schalke

Bruma (33'), Brosinski (53')

Todibo (58'), Kutucu (86')
Sep 20, 2019 7.30pm
gameweek 5
Schalke
2-1
Mainz
Serdar (36'), Harit (89')
McKennie (47')
Onisiwo (74')
Brosinski (65')
> Match Report