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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Schalke 04 |
54.76% (![]() | 22.07% (![]() | 23.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.33% (![]() | 39.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.98% (![]() | 62.01% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.54% (![]() | 14.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.58% (![]() | 42.42% (![]() |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% (![]() | 30.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% (![]() | 66.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 9.79% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.53% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.01% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 23.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 35 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 32 |
3 | Stuttgart | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 29 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 21 |
8 | Freiburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
9 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Heidenheim | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 14 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 13 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
16 | FC Koln | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |
17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 9 |
18 | Mainz 05Mainz | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 8 |
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