Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 30, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
3 - 0
Mainz

Wind (5', 28'), Bornauw (13')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
44.84% ( 0.21)	23.92% ( 0.29)	31.24% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 60.06% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99% (

-1.62)

42% (

1.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.59% (

-1.65)

64.41% (

1.65)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

-0.56)

18.96% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.5% (

-0.95)

50.49% (

0.95)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11% (

-1.1)

25.89% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.13% (

-1.51)

60.87% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 44.84%

Mainz 05 31.24%

Draw 23.92%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.34% Total : 44.84%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.24%