Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Mainz
  • Jonas Wind 5' goal
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 13' goal
  • Jonas Wind 28' goal

Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 1 - 5 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Yannick Gerhardt

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Mainz 3 - 1 Bayern
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Karim Onisiwo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result

Wolfsburg 44.84% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 23.92% ▲ (+0.30)
Mainz 05 31.24% ▼ (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.06% ▼ (-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.99% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 2.5 42% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 3.5 35.59% ▼ (-1.65)
Under 3.5 64.41% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 4.5 18.71% ▼ (-1.26)
Under 4.5 81.29% ▲ (+1.26)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 81.03% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 0.5 18.96% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 1.5 49.5% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 1.5 50.49% ▲ (+0.95)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 74.11% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 0.5 25.89% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 1.5 39.13% ▼ (-1.52)
Under 1.5 60.87% ▲ (+1.52)

Score analysis

Wolfsburg 44.84%
Draw 23.92%
Mainz 05 31.24%
Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.45)
2-0 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 44.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.35)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.92%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 31.24%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Mainz
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Wolfsburg
  • goal Patrick Wimmer 33'
  • goal Maximilian Arnold 70'
  • goal Bote Baku 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
5
0
HT : 5 0
FT
Mainz
  • Jonas Wind 8' goal
  • Max Kruse 24' goal
  • Max Kruse 35' goal
  • Jonas Wind 42' goal
  • Max Kruse 45'+2' goal
  • redcard Niklas Tauer 23'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 81'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Mainz
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Jonathan Burkardt 2' goal
  • Anton Stach 4' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 78' yellowcard
  • Maxence Lacroix 90' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Mbabu 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Mainz
  • Maximilian Philipp 47' goal
  • Maximilian Arnold 51' yellowcard
  • Xaver Schlager 56' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 66' goal
  • Maximilian Philipp 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 29'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 40'
  • goal Jean-Paul Boetius 44'
  • goal Robin Quaison 54'
  • yellowcard Jean-Paul Boetius 61'
  • goal Stefan Bell 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Mainz
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Jean-Paul Boetius 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximilian Philipp 53'
  • goal Bartosz Bialek 65'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 79'
  • yellowcard Josuha Guilavogui 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Wolfsburg
Feb 23, 2020 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Volkswagen Arena
Mainz
  • Josip Brekalo 21' goal
  • Renato Steffen 45' goal
  • Yannick Gerhardt 49' goal
  • Renato Steffen 68' goal
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 31'
  • yellowcard Ronael Pierre-Gabriel 65'

Form Data

VfL Bochum 1 - 5 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 0 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Borussia M'bach 2 - 0 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 2 - 2 Augsburg
Stuttgart 0 - 1 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin
Mainz 3 - 1 Bayern
FC Koln 1 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 2 Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig 0 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 1 Freiburg
Hertha Berlin 1 - 1 Mainz