Club Friendlies

Aug 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

The National Stadium

Liverpool
3 - 4
Bayern

Gakpo (2'), van Dijk (28'), Diaz (66')
Gakpo (56'), Alexander-Arnold (58')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gnabry (33'), Sane (42'), Stanisic (80'), Kratzig (90+1')

Reaction

Liverpool's Alexis Mac Allister during the warm up before the match on July 30, 2023

Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp plays down Mac Allister injury concerns

Manager Jurgen Klopp plays down concerns over the knee injury sustained by Liverpool midfielder Alexis Mac Allister against Bayern Munich.

Aug 2, 17:08

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Leicester
Sunday, July 30 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, July 29 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.48%) and 1-0 (5.01%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Bayern Munich
44.3% ( 0.5)	21.56% ( -0.1)	34.14% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 70.31% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.87% (

0.38)

29.13% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.87% (

0.47)

50.13% (

-0.47)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.91% (

0.32)

14.09% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.29% (

0.63)

41.71% (

-0.63)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84% (

-0.01)

18.16% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.86% (

-0.02)

49.13% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 44.3%

Bayern Munich 34.14%

Draw 21.56%

Liverpool	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.74% Total : 44.3%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.56%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.73% 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.14%