Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.