Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.87%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.