Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Karlsruher SC win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Karlsruher SC
55.69% ( -0.04)	22.75% ( 0.01)	21.56% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.89% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33% (

-0.02)

44.67% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.97% (

-0.02)

67.03% (

0.03)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.12% (

-0.02)

15.89% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.89% (

-0.04)

45.11% (

0.04)

Karlsruher SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25% (

0.02)

34.75% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52% (

0.02)

71.48% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 55.69%

Karlsruher SC 21.56%

Draw 22.75%

St Pauli	Draw	Karlsruher SC
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.69%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.75%	0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.56%