Hamburg logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Imtech Arena

Hamburger SV
4 - 3
St Pauli

David (44'), Jatta (48'), Heyer (52'), Medic (78' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saliakas (36'), Saad (71'), Irvine (79')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-0 Hamburger SV
Saturday, April 15 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: St Pauli 1-2 Braunschweig
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 55.87%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 1-0 (7.12%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawSt Pauli
55.87% (3.162 3.16)20.96% (-0.663 -0.66)23.17% (-2.499 -2.5)
Both teams to score 63.48% (-0.561 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.64% (0.545 0.55)34.36% (-0.546 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.73% (0.611 0.61)56.27% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (1.121 1.12)12.35% (-1.121 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (2.3 2.3)38.18% (-2.301 -2.3)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-1.587 -1.59)27.57% (1.587 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-2.091 -2.09)63.09% (2.09 2.09)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 55.87%
    St Pauli 23.17%
    Draw 20.96%
Hamburger SVDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.117 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.45% (0.414 0.41)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.357 0.36)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.493 0.49)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.325 0.33)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.36 0.36)
4-2 @ 2.25% (0.115 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.191 0.19)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.192 0.19)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 55.87%
1-1 @ 9.18% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.462 -0.46)
0-1 @ 4.39% (-0.331 -0.33)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.324 -0.32)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.214 -0.21)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 23.17%

How you voted: Hamburger SV vs St Pauli

Hamburger SV
46.2%
Draw
30.8%
St Pauli
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 12
St Pauli
3-0
Hamburger SV
Smith (61'), Hartel (74'), Otto (89')

Schonlau (28')
Jan 21, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 20
Hamburger SV
2-1
St Pauli
Schonlau (58'), Jatta (70')
Walter (63'), Kittel (66'), Reis (78')
Burgstaller (30')
Amenyido (26'), Irvine (45+3'), Hartel (65'), Benatelli (90+4')
Aug 13, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 3
St Pauli
3-2
Hamburger SV
Ole Becker (27'), Makienok (56', 58')
Paqarada (5'), Dzwigala (84')
Kittel (43'), Glatzel (77')
Schonlau (3'), Kinsombi (66'), Kaufmann (90')
Mar 1, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 23
St Pauli
1-0
Hamburger SV
Kyereh (88')
Ziereis (11'), Marmoush (31'), Reginiussen (49'), Benatelli (56'), Kyereh (90+4'), Burgstaller (90+4')

Jung (35')
Leibold (90+5')
Oct 30, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 6
Hamburger SV
2-2
St Pauli
Terodde (12', 84')
Kittel (71')
Zalazar Martinez (35'), Makienok (82')
Dittgen (56')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!