2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 12pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Greuther Furth

St Pauli
2 - 1
Greuther Furth

Saliakas (13'), Afolayan (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ache (6')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Greuther Furth.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-2 St Pauli
Friday, March 3 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Greuther Furth

All competitions
Last Game: Greuther Furth 1-1 Hannover
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawGreuther Furth
59.08% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)22.54% (0.004999999999999 0)18.39% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)48.04% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)70.21% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.91% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.84% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)45.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.34%76.66% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 59.07%
    Greuther Furth 18.39%
    Draw 22.53%
St PauliDrawGreuther Furth
1-0 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.85%
3-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 59.07%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.39%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Greuther Furth

St Pauli
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Greuther Furth
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 12pm
Greuther Furth
2-2
St Pauli
Hrgota (48'), Irvine (52' og.)
Christiansen (60')
Hartel (19'), Metcalfe (85')
Saliakas (27'), Otto (41'), Irvine (50'), Amenyido (63'), Boukhalfa (90+5')
Apr 25, 2021 12.30pm
St Pauli
2-1
Greuther Furth
Zander (10'), Burgstaller (50')
Seguin (90+3')
Stach (13'), Seguin (80')
Jan 3, 2021 12.30pm
Greuther Furth
2-1
St Pauli
Green (24' pen.), Nielsen (27')
Seguin (79')
Flach (83')
Knoll (24'), Paqarada (38'), Aremu (66'), Ohlsson (81')
Jan 28, 2020 7.30pm
Greuther Furth
3-0
St Pauli
Hrgota (43'), Leweling (86'), Keita-Ruel (92')
Green (29')

Gyokeres (38')
Aug 2, 2019 7.30pm
St Pauli
1-3
Greuther Furth
Diamantakos (45')
Keita-Ruel (17', 35'), Green (70')
Wittek (50')