Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
SC Paderborn	Draw	St Pauli
45.62% ( 1.94)	22.62% ( -0.33)	31.76% ( -1.62)

Both teams to score 65.1% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.5% (

0.97)

35.5% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.46% (

1.07)

57.54% (

-1.07)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91% (

1.13)

16.09% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.51% (

2.02)

45.49% (

-2.03)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

-0.43)

22.41% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06% (

-0.65)

55.93% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

SC Paderborn 45.62%

St Pauli 31.76%

Draw 22.62%

SC Paderborn	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 9% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.16) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.62%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 31.76%