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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 12pm UK
Imtech Arena

Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Holstein Kiel

FT
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karlsruher 4-2 Hamburger SV
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Jahn
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawHolstein Kiel
61.69% (0.318 0.32)19.58% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)18.73% (-0.305 -0.31)
Both teams to score 61.38% (-0.552 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.04% (-0.455 -0.45)33.96% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.18% (-0.515 -0.52)55.82% (0.519 0.52)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)10.66% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.48% (-0.121 -0.12)34.52% (0.124 0.12)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)31.3% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (-0.675 -0.67)67.66% (0.678 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 61.7%
    Holstein Kiel 18.73%
    Draw 19.58%
Hamburger SVDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.24% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.49% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 61.7%
1-1 @ 8.68% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 18.73%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2022 5.30pm
Holstein Kiel
2-3
Hamburger SV
Heyer (90+2' og.), Bartels (90+3')
Glatzel (39'), Heyer (69'), Reis (85')
Schonlau (51')
Apr 10, 2022 12.30pm
Holstein Kiel
1-0
Hamburger SV
Okyere Wriedt (13')
Muhling (17'), Neumann (79')

Reis (39'), Vuskovic (68'), Kaufmann (76')
Oct 30, 2021 7.30pm
Hamburger SV
1-1
Holstein Kiel
Kittel (12' pen.)
David (74'), Muheim (80'), Wintzheimer (90+2')
Pichler (46')
Korb (11'), Lorenz (29'), Holtby (78'), Sander (90+1')
Mar 8, 2021 7.30pm
Nov 9, 2020 7.30pm