Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Magdeburg
48.84% ( -1.76)	21.95% ( 0.52)	29.21% ( 1.24)

Both teams to score 66.04% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.39% (

-1.68)

33.61% (

1.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.58% (

-1.94)

55.42% (

1.95)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.75% (

-1.16)

14.25% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.98% (

-2.32)

42.02% (

2.33)

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02% (

-0.1)

22.98% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.23% (

-0.14)

56.77% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 48.84%

Magdeburg 29.21%

Draw 21.95%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Magdeburg
2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.15) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.62% Total : 48.84%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.95%	1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.21%