Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Holstein Kiel
52.12% ( -0.11)	22.39% ( 0.17)	25.49% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 61.05% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.24% (

-0.85)

38.76% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.93% (

-0.9)

61.07% (

0.9)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

-0.33)

15.01% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52% (

-0.64)

43.48% (

0.64)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0.49)

28.17% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14% (

-0.63)

63.86% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 52.12%

Holstein Kiel 25.49%

Draw 22.39%

St Pauli	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.02% Total : 52.12%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 25.49%