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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
 

Nuremberg
2 - 3
Holstein Kiel

Tempelmann (39'), Daferner (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Skrzybski (62', 80'), Reese (66')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Nuremberg and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nuremberg

All competitions
Last Game: Karlsruher 3-0 Nuremberg
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-1 Hansa Rostock
Saturday, October 1 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
NurembergDrawHolstein Kiel
38.59% (0.097999999999999 0.1)24.53% (-0.035 -0.04)36.88% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 59.45% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (0.161 0.16)43.47% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (0.159 0.16)65.86% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (0.122 0.12)22.45% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.01% (0.181 0.18)55.99% (-0.184 -0.18)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.037999999999997 0.04)23.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71% (0.056999999999995 0.06)57.29% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nuremberg 38.59%
    Holstein Kiel 36.88%
    Draw 24.53%
NurembergDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.59%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.02%
2-3 @ 3% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 36.88%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 12.30pm
Holstein Kiel
3-0
Nuremberg
Skrzybski (14'), Korb (41'), Holtby (63')
Holtby (29'), Korb (38')

Krauss (36'), Schindler (39')
Dec 4, 2021 12.30pm
Nuremberg
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Schaffler (6'), Shuranov (63')
Tempelmann (90+2'), Mathenia (90+5')
Korb (88')
Holtby (27')
Apr 27, 2021 5.30pm
Nuremberg
1-1
Holstein Kiel
Borkowski (31')
Valentini (26'), Krauss (53'), Nurnberger (78')
Serra (67')
Neumann (86')
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
Holstein Kiel
1-0
Nuremberg
Bartels (80')
Thesker (59')

Schleusener (33')
Jun 28, 2020 2.30pm
Holstein Kiel
1-1
Nuremberg

Sorensen (53'), Handwerker (60'), Valentini (88'), Mathenia (90+1')