2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Sep 17, 2022 at 12pm UK

Bielefelder Alm

Arminia Bielefeld
4 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Hack (1'), Serra (36'), Okugawa (48'), Lasme (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Muhling (59'), Bartels (68')

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

Last Six:

Last Game: Nuremberg 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Friday, September 9 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Magdeburg	8	-8	7
17	Arminia Bielefeld	8	-5	5
18	Greuther Furth	8	-6	4

Holstein Kiel

Last Six:

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-3 Hamburger SV
Friday, September 9 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Kaiserslautern	8	3	13
8	Holstein Kiel	8	-1	12
9	Karlsruher SC	9	1	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.

Result
Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Holstein Kiel
41.47% ( -0.61)	25.59% ( 0.09)	32.94% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 55.01% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.1% (

-0.22)

48.9% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.01% (

-0.2)

70.99% (

0.2)

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

-0.4)

23.4% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61% (

-0.58)

57.39% (

0.58)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82% (

0.23)

28.18% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.12% (

0.29)

63.88% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld 41.47%

Holstein Kiel 32.94%

Draw 25.58%

Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Holstein Kiel
1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.47%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.94%