2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Heidenheim

Holstein Kiel
3 - 1
Heidenheim

Skrzybski (45', 51'), Okyere Wriedt (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thomalla (31')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Heidenheim.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: Nuremberg 2-3 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, October 9 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-1 Hannover
Sunday, October 9 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawHeidenheim
39.92% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)25.58% (0.004999999999999 0)34.49% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)48.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.68% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)24.03% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)58.29% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.43% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 39.92%
    Heidenheim 34.49%
    Draw 25.58%
Holstein KielDrawHeidenheim
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 39.92%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.49%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
Holstein Kiel
1-1
Heidenheim
Lorenz (56')
Lorenz (37')
Kleindienst (71')
Husing (62'), Schimmer (68'), Geipl (84')
Nov 21, 2021 12.30pm
Heidenheim
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Kuhlwetter (1'), Leipertz (85')
Geipl (35')
Bartels (30')
Muhling (39'), Neumann (87')
Apr 6, 2021 5.30pm
Heidenheim
1-0
Holstein Kiel
Kleindienst (17')
Kuhlwetter (44'), Schnatterer (90')
Nov 21, 2020 12pm
Holstein Kiel
2-2
Heidenheim
Fohrenbach (45' og.), Muhling (65' pen.)
Wahl (8'), Muhling (34'), Bartels (56')
van den Bergh (90+2')
Kuhlwetter (86' pen., 90+4')
Kuhlwetter (28')
Feb 22, 2020 12pm
Holstein Kiel
0-1
Heidenheim

Todorovic (25')
Theuerkauf (77')
Kleindienst (42'), Otto (55')
Kleindienst (90')