Arminia Bielefeld logos
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Bielefelder Alm

Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 0
St Pauli

Serra (76', 84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 6-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

St Pauli

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 St Pauli
Wednesday, October 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawSt Pauli
32.02% (-0.264 -0.26)24.13% (0.02 0.02)43.85% (0.245 0.24)
Both teams to score 59.71% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-0.191 -0.19)42.62% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.191 -0.19)65.03% (0.191 0.19)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.252 -0.25)25.7% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (-0.345 -0.34)60.62% (0.345 0.34)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.64% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (0.045999999999999 0.05)51.6% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 32.02%
    St Pauli 43.85%
    Draw 24.12%
Arminia BielefeldDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.93% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 43.85%

How you voted: Arminia Bielefeld vs St Pauli

Arminia Bielefeld
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
St Pauli
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2019 12pm
St Pauli
3-0
Arminia Bielefeld
Veerman (3', 25'), Gyokeres (54')
Zander (60')
Jul 29, 2019 7.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
1-1
St Pauli
Prietl (90')
Behrendt (56'), Prietl (69')
Joe Conteh (32')
Miyaichi (79'), Hoffmann (90')
Apr 14, 2019 12.30pm
St Pauli
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Miyaichi (48')
Yi-young (4'), Buchtmann (56'), Carstens (75')
Klos (5' pen.)
Voglsammer (45'), Behrendt (60'), Weihrauch (64')
Nov 4, 2018 12.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
1-2
St Pauli
Staude (7')
Staude (14'), Klos (54'), Lucoqui (82')
Knoll (49' pen.), Moller Daehli (55')
Nehrig (90'), Moller Daehli (90')
May 6, 2018 2.30pm
St Pauli
1-0
Arminia Bielefeld
Yi-young (39')

Salger (2')