Arminia Bielefeld logos
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Bielefelder Alm
Karlsruher

Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 2
Karlsruher

Serra (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schleusener (43'), Wanitzek (54')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Karlsruher SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
Last Game: Dusseldorf 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld
Saturday, October 1 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Karlsruher SC

All competitions
Last Game: Karlsruher 3-0 Nuremberg
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Karlsruher SC in this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawKarlsruher SC
34.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)24.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)40.47% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.68% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (0.038999999999994 0.04)45.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (0.036999999999999 0.04)67.96% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.063999999999993 0.06)25.61% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (0.086999999999996 0.09)60.49% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Karlsruher SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.47% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)56.02% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 34.6%
    Karlsruher SC 40.47%
    Draw 24.94%
Arminia BielefeldDrawKarlsruher SC
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.47%

How you voted: Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher

Arminia Bielefeld
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Karlsruher SC
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jun 21, 2020 2.30pm
Karlsruher
3-3
Arminia Bielefeld
Hofmann (25', 70' pen., 88' pen.)
Lorenz (15'), Gondorf (43')
Hartel (3'), Klos (10'), Kobald (20' og.)
Lucoqui (69')
Dec 6, 2019 5.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
2-2
Karlsruher
Klos (81' pen.), Simun Edmundsson (93')
Simun Edmundsson (89')
Lorenz (25'), Wanitzek (91')
Rossbach (37'), Kobald (42'), Thiede (67')