2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 7, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Holstein Kiel4 - 0St Pauli
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and St Pauli.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | St Pauli |
| 47.05% | 24.04% | 28.92% |
| Both teams to score 58.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.23% | 43.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.84% | 66.16% |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% | 18.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.85% | 50.15% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% | 28.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% | 64.02% |
| Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel 47.05%
St Pauli 28.92%
Draw 24.03%
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.36% Total : 47.05% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-1 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.92% |
How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli
Holstein Kiel
60.0%Draw
20.0%St Pauli
20.0%5


