May 7, 2021 5.30pm

4

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Ahmet Arslan 13'
Ahmet Arslan 22'
Fin Bartels 24'
Fin Bartels 49'
Simon Lorenz 55'
Janni-Luca Serra 67'

Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

W
L
D
W
L
L

2.Bundesliga

W
D
W
L
L
D

Last game

May 4, 2021 5.30pm

Holstein Kiel 2 - 0 SV Sandhausen

Goals scored

55

Top scorer

Janni-Luca Serra

St Pauli

All competitions

W
L
W
W
W
W

2.Bundesliga

W
L
W
W
W
W

Last game

Apr 25, 2021 12.30pm

St Pauli 2 - 1 Greuther Furth

Goals scored

51

Top scorer

Guido Burgstaller

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result

Holstein Kiel 47.05%

Draw 24.04%

St Pauli 28.92%

Both Teams to Score:

58.25%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.23%

Under 2.5 43.77%

Over 3.5 33.84%

Under 3.5 66.16%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 81.24%

Under 0.5 18.76%

Over 1.5 49.85%

Under 1.5 50.15%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 71.7%

Under 0.5 28.3%

Over 1.5 35.98%

Under 1.5 64.02%

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 47.05%

Draw 24.03%

St Pauli 28.92%

Holstein Kiel

2-1 @ 9.38%

1-0 @ 8.88%

2-0 @ 7.43%

3-1 @ 5.24%

3-0 @ 4.15%

3-2 @ 3.3%

4-1 @ 2.19%

4-0 @ 1.74%

4-2 @ 1.38%

Other @ 3.36%

Total : 47.05%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.21%

2-2 @ 5.92%

0-0 @ 5.31%

3-3 @ 1.39%

Other @ 0.2%

Total : 24.03%

St Pauli

1-2 @ 7.08%

0-1 @ 6.7%

0-2 @ 4.23%

1-3 @ 2.98%

2-3 @ 2.49%

0-3 @ 1.78%

Other @ 3.65%

Total : 28.92%

Head to Head

Jan 9, 2021 12.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Rodrigo Zalazar 7'
Omar Marmoush 52'
Adam Dzwigala 67'

Johannes van den Bergh 39'
Joshua Mees 62'

Feb 10, 2020 7.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Holstein-Stadion

Alexander Muhling 23'
Salih Ozcan 30'
Janni-Luca Serra 69'

Leo Skiri Oestigaard 27'
Henk Veerman 52'
Johannes Flum 55'

Aug 26, 2019 7.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

Jan-Philipp Kalla 21'
Ryo Miyaichi 34'
James Lawrence 49'
Matt Penney 61'
Christian Conteh 66'
Matt Penney 93'

Aleksandar Ignjovski 68'
Makana Baku 81'
Hauke Wahl 93'
Johannes van den Bergh 95'

Apr 6, 2019 12.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Johannes van den Bergh 28'
Lee Jae-sung 32'
Stefan Thesker 41'
Alexander Muhling 50'
Lee Jae-sung 53'

Jeremy Dudziak 11'
Alexander Meier 43'
Johannes Flum 49'

Oct 28, 2018 12.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

Sami Allagui 64'

Jannik Dehm 7'
Dominik Schmidt 30'
Janni-Luca Serra 59'

Feb 25, 2018 12.30pm

3

2

HT : 1 2

FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

Richard Neudecker 11'
Bernd Nehrig 25'
Richard Neudecker 74'
Christopher Avevor 89'

Kingsley Schindler 14'
Rafael Czichos 16'
Marvin Ducksch 19'
Dominic Peitz 31'
Johannes van den Bergh 83'

Form Data

Holstein Kiel 2 - 0 SV Sandhausen

Dortmund 5 - 0 Holstein Kiel

Nuremberg 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel

Osnabruck 1 - 3 Holstein Kiel

Heidenheim 1 - 0 Holstein Kiel

VfL Bochum 2 - 1 Holstein Kiel

St Pauli 2 - 1 Greuther Furth

Dusseldorf 2 - 0 St Pauli

St Pauli 4 - 0 Wurzburger

Erzgebirge Aue 1 - 3 St Pauli

St Pauli 2 - 0 Braunschweig

Osnabruck 1 - 2 St Pauli