Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
