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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 5, 2022 at 12pm UK
 

Dusseldorf
1 - 0
St Pauli

Hennings (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Fortuna Dusseldorf and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Dusseldorf
Saturday, October 29 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

St Pauli

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 29 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSt Pauli
50.49% (0.219 0.22)23.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)26.5% (-0.208 -0.21)
Both teams to score 59.84% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.19% (-0.101 -0.1)40.81% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.81% (-0.102 -0.1)63.19% (0.1 0.1)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (0.042000000000002 0.04)16.32% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (0.077999999999996 0.08)45.9% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-0.203 -0.2)28.5% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (-0.254 -0.25)64.27% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 50.49%
    St Pauli 26.5%
    Draw 23.01%
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.01%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 26.5%

Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
St Pauli
2-0
Dusseldorf
Hartel (65'), Dzwigala (83')
Buchtmann (20'), Irvine (85')

Piotrowski (50'), Koutris (60')
Dec 11, 2021 7.30pm
Dusseldorf
1-1
St Pauli
Hennings (68')
Nedelcu (23'), Piotrowski (71')
Hartel (47')
Smith (26')
Apr 21, 2021 5.30pm
Dusseldorf
2-0
St Pauli
Klaus (26'), Danso (49')
Peterson (23'), Piotrowski (90+2')

Kyereh (31'), Lawrence (46'), Reginiussen (80'), Paqarada (86')
Dec 20, 2020 12.30pm
St Pauli
0-3
Dusseldorf

Brodersen (78')
Zimmermann (10'), Hennings (64'), Prib (90+3')
Morales (86'), Kownacki (90+2')
Mar 4, 2018 12.30pm
Dusseldorf
2-1
St Pauli
Hoffmann (8'), Usami (74')
Hennings (13')
Bouhaddouz (90')