Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.